With glaciers melting faster in the face of climate change, flood risk is rising and early warnings will be key, report Saleem Shaikh and Sughra Tunio.
ISLAMABAD, Aug 23 (Thomson Reuters Foundation) – Pakistan will invest $8.5 million to expand a network of glacier monitoring stations tracking the pace of glacial melt in the Hindu Kush, Karakoram and Himalayan mountain ranges, in an effort to strengthen early warning systems and reduce the impact of flooding in the South Asian country.
Almost half of Pakistan’s 5,000 glaciers, covering around 15,000 square kilometres, are in rapid retreat, scientists say. The rate of glacial melt, which has risen by about 23 percent in the previous decade, is among the fastest in the world, according to the Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD).
Last month, the government approved 892.5 million rupees for a four-year project to expand the network of monitoring stations as officials seek more accurate data on temperature, humidity, changing rainfall patterns and wind speed, while tracking the rate at which glaciers are melting.
“The initiative is indispensable for enhancing the country’s climate resilience, and vital to the meteorological department’s ability to timely release warnings about the flood risk,” Ghulsam Rasul, director-general of the meteorological department, told the Thomson Reuters Foundation in an interview.
“Based on data from these weather stations, timely warnings will be issued to provide a lead time of 60 to 90 minutes to communities in flood-prone areas to respond effectively to early flood warnings,” he said.
Pakistan is one of the most disaster-prone countries in the world. In 2010, the country suffered the worst floods in a generation with more than 1,600 killed and over 14 million affected as floodwaters inundated over a third of the country.
Investing in disaster preparedness not only saves lives but also money with each $1 dollar spent saving $7 in tackling the aftermath of disasters such as floods, development experts have said.
Pakistan’s meteorological department also has submitted a six-year plan to modernise the country’s ageing weather forecasting system – at a cost of 16.6 billion rupees ($159 million) – to Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif for approval.
The plan proposes installing 22 meteorological radar stations across the country and 400 advanced automatic weather stations, while overhauling community-based weather observatory stations in 98 districts.
“Our radar network – comprising seven flood warning radars – is now very poor and obsolete,” Ghulam Rasul said.
Besides expanding early warning systems, disaster management officials are focusing on getting early warnings to as many people as possible as quickly as possible, said Ahmad Kamal, a spokesman for the National Disaster Management Agency.
The agency has sought cooperation from the state-owned Pakistan Telecommunication Authority and bodies regulating print and electronic media to disseminate weather forecasts and early warnings by SMS and print media when disaster threatens.
Kamal said as many as 10 million SMS alerts were sent to disaster-prone communities in 2015, adding that SMS alerts had proven to be the most effective way of communicating with remote communities, particularly in mountainous regions.
“Despite the same intensity of summer monsoon rains in 2015 as observed in the preceding years, loss of life and cattle in mountain areas was 80 to 90 percent less,” Kamal said.
In a country of 200 million people, more than 140 million are mobile phone users, he noted.
“Loss of life from disasters can be brought to zero if one early warning SMS alert about any possible disaster is relayed to these big number of mobile phone users in the country,” he suggested.
($1 = 104.6500 Pakistani rupees)
Editing by Katie Nguyen and Laurie Goering for the Thomson Reuters Foundation, the charitable arm of Thomson Reuters.